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초록

In this study, a grid-based precipitation quantile was estimated using long-term reanalysis precipitation data, considering the homogeneity of the annual maximum series (AMS) for the Korean Peninsula. For regions where significant changes in homogeneity were observed, the precipitation quantile was estimated using only the AMS from after the change point, and these results were compared with those from the original AMS. The examination of homogeneity revealed a significant increasing trend in homogeneity variability in the southeastern region of Korea. This change was particularly pronounced in the location parameter of the Gumbel distribution, resulting in an improved model fit. The change in precipitation quantile was most noticeable for a 2-year return period with a 36 h duration, with an average increase of approximately 11.5%. The results obtained from this study are anticipated to offer crucial foundational data for the design of hydraulic structures in regions with insufficient long-term ground observation data.